{"id":6452,"date":"2023-05-15T07:41:19","date_gmt":"2023-05-15T07:41:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/angolanembassy-nga.ao\/?p=6452"},"modified":"2023-05-15T07:41:21","modified_gmt":"2023-05-15T07:41:21","slug":"aposta-nas-reformas-macroeconomicas-vao-garantir-subida-de-angola-no-rating","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/angolanembassy-nga.ao\/?p=6452","title":{"rendered":"Aposta nas reformas macroecon\u00f3micas v\u00e3o garantir subida de Angola no rating"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

O director da ag\u00eancia de nota\u00e7\u00e3o financeira “Fitch Ratings” para \u00c1frica e o M\u00e9dio Oriente, Toby Iles, disse que a capacidade do Governo angolano manter as reformas macroecon\u00f3micas num contexto de descida do pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo ser\u00e1 determinante para a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o no rating.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ao se pronunciar numa confer\u00eancia virtual sobre a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o das economias africanas, Toby Iles afirmou que “as reformas or\u00e7amentais, monet\u00e1rias e econ\u00f3micas que foram feitas com sucesso, assim como o pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo, t\u00eam sido a chave para a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f3mica, ajudaram a pagar a d\u00edvida e contribu\u00edram para uma aprecia\u00e7\u00e3o muito significativa do kwanza\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“A perspectiva de evolu\u00e7\u00e3o da economia de Angola \u00e9 positiva e o gatilho para uma eventual subida no rating ser\u00e3o a resili\u00eancia e a confian\u00e7a com que o Governo vai manter o \u00edmpeto nas reformas mesmo quando os pre\u00e7os descerem\u201d, sublinhou o gestor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Respondendo \u00e0s quest\u00f5es da Lusa sobre a opini\u00e3o da Fitch Ratings em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 situa\u00e7\u00e3o financeira de Angola, o analista acrescentou que “\u00e9 preciso mais evid\u00eancias sobre a capacidade de manter a liquidez externa, porque as reservas n\u00e3o subiram muito com o pre\u00e7o alto\u201d do petr\u00f3leo, que s\u00e3o o principal contribuidor para as reservas internacionais em moeda estrangeira.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Evolu\u00e7\u00e3o do rating<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em Janeiro, a Fitch Ratings melhorou a perspectiva de evolu\u00e7\u00e3o do rating de Angola para positiva, mantendo a opini\u00e3o sobre a qualidade do cr\u00e9dito soberano em B, abaixo da recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o de investimento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“A perspectiva de evolu\u00e7\u00e3o positiva reflecte a recente queda abrupta da d\u00edvida p\u00fablica, grandes excedentes da balan\u00e7a corrente e riscos de financiamento mais baixos, sustentados por um ambiente petrol\u00edfero mais favor\u00e1vel\u201d, l\u00ea-se na nota que acompanhou, em Janeiro, a decis\u00e3o de manter o rating em B-, dois n\u00edveis abaixo da recomenda\u00e7\u00e3o de investimento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na confer\u00eancia, os analistas salientaram que apesar de 2023 n\u00e3o ser um ano muito pesado em termos de maturidade da d\u00edvida soberana, os dois pr\u00f3ximos anos ser\u00e3o dif\u00edceis para uma boa parte dos pa\u00edses que enfrentam o final do prazo dos empr\u00e9stimos e ter\u00e3o, portanto, de pagar a totalidade do que pediram ou emitiram nos mercados financeiros internacionais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Em 2024 haver\u00e1 mais press\u00e3o financeira sobre os pa\u00edses, com o Qu\u00e9nia, Egipto e Eti\u00f3pia a terem de pagar mais de dois mil milh\u00f5es de d\u00f3lares cada, e 2025 ser\u00e1 ainda mais dif\u00edcil, com v\u00e1rios pa\u00edses a enfrentarem a maturidade da d\u00edvida\u201d, alertou o analista. Questionado sobre de que forma os pa\u00edses africanos est\u00e3o a lidar com o aumento das taxas de juro e com o impacto da subida do pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo e da infla\u00e7\u00e3o, nomeadamente dos bens alimentares, Toby Iles salientou a import\u00e2ncia da consolida\u00e7\u00e3o or\u00e7amental.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“A consolida\u00e7\u00e3o or\u00e7amental \u00e9 crucial, est\u00e3o a tentar desbloquear os mecanismos que permitem aumentar a mobiliza\u00e7\u00e3o de receitas internas, o que \u00e9 muito dif\u00edcil historicamente, e est\u00e3o mais focados na gest\u00e3o das finan\u00e7as p\u00fablicas, ao mesmo tempo que tentam manter e at\u00e9 acelerar o crescimento econ\u00f3mico\u201d, afirmou, salientando que “a outra op\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 reestrutura\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d da d\u00edvida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os pagamentos da d\u00edvida externa dos pa\u00edses mais pobres, incluindo todos os lus\u00f3fonos africanos, v\u00e3o subir para o valor mais alto desde 1998, representando 16,3 por cento do total das receitas, mais do que duplicando desde 2011.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Os pagamentos da d\u00edvida externa de 91 pa\u00edses v\u00e3o ser, em m\u00e9dia, de 16,3 por cento das receitas fiscais este ano, aumentando para 16,7 por cento em 2024, um aumento de 150 por cento desde 2011\u201d, de acordo com uma nota de an\u00e1lise da Organiza\u00e7\u00e3o N\u00e3o-Governamental (ONG) Debt Justice, dedicada \u00e0s quest\u00f5es da d\u00edvida sustent\u00e1vel, de Abril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Fitch Ratings, detida pelos donos da consultora Fitch Solutions, analisa 22 pa\u00edses em \u00c1frica, 19 dos quais na \u00c1frica Subsaariana e, destes, quase metade (45 por cento) t\u00eam um rating de CCC ou est\u00e3o em incumprimento financeiro, o que evidencia os “n\u00edveis significativos de risco de cr\u00e9dito na regi\u00e3o\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

O director da ag\u00eancia de nota\u00e7\u00e3o financeira “Fitch Ratings” para \u00c1frica e o M\u00e9dio Oriente, Toby Iles, disse que a capacidade do Governo angolano manter as reformas macroecon\u00f3micas num contexto<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6453,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_rishi_post_view_count":254},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","rishi-post"],"rishi__cb_customizer_meta":"","comments_count":"0","yoast_head":"\nAposta nas reformas macroecon\u00f3micas v\u00e3o garantir subida de Angola no rating - Embassy of the Republic of Angola in Nigeria<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"O director da ag\u00eancia de nota\u00e7\u00e3o financeira "Fitch Ratings" para \u00c1frica e o M\u00e9dio Oriente, Toby Iles, disse que a 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