{"id":13991,"date":"2025-02-25T09:54:51","date_gmt":"2025-02-25T09:54:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/angolanembassy-nga.ao\/?p=13991"},"modified":"2025-02-25T09:55:14","modified_gmt":"2025-02-25T09:55:14","slug":"fundo-monetario-internacional-destaca-recuperacao-da-economia-angolana","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/angolanembassy-nga.ao\/?p=13991","title":{"rendered":"Fundo Monet\u00e1rio Internacional\u2008destaca recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da economia angolana"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A economia de Angola recuperou em 2024, \u00e0 medida que o sector petrol\u00edfero se recuperou, estimando-se um crescimento do PIB (Produto Interno Bruto) de 3,8 por cento.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Este indicador superou as projec\u00e7\u00f5es anteriores e a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o ampliou-se para o sector n\u00e3o petrol\u00edfero.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A conclus\u00e3o \u00e9 do Fundo Monet\u00e1rio Internacional (FMI), que, ontem, tornou p\u00fablica a avalia\u00e7\u00e3o da conclus\u00e3o da consulta do Artigo IV com Angola.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O Artigo IV do FMI refere-se \u00e0 estabiliza\u00e7\u00e3o macroecon\u00f3mica do pa\u00eds, ao crescimento econ\u00f3mico e aos desafios que Angola enfrenta. A rela\u00e7\u00e3o d\u00edvida p\u00fablica\/PIB caiu em 2024, beneficiando-se de um maior crescimento nominal do PIB e super\u00e1vit prim\u00e1rios sustentados.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No entanto, os esfor\u00e7os de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o fiscal diminu\u00edram, e os amortecedores constru\u00eddos durante o programa apoiado pelo EFF de 2018-2021 est\u00e3o a ser corro\u00eddos por deslizamentos fiscais de maiores despesas de capital e uma reforma mais lenta dos subs\u00eddios aos combust\u00edveis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A infla\u00e7\u00e3o permaneceu elevada, impulsionada por press\u00f5es cambiais e pre\u00e7os mais altos de alimentos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O banco central aumentou a taxa de pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria em 150 bps (pontos base) em 2024 e simplificou a gest\u00e3o de liquidez, resultando num melhor alinhamento da taxa interbanc\u00e1ria com a taxa de pol\u00edtica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A moeda desvalorizou-se em mais de 10 por cento em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao d\u00f3lar americano em 2024. Expectativas adversas de mercado e um alto servi\u00e7o de d\u00edvida externa continuam a pesar sobre a taxa de c\u00e2mbio. A gest\u00e3o activa de caixa e d\u00edvida do Governo ajudou a mitigar as press\u00f5es de liquidez.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Espera-se que a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o continue, mas os riscos para a perspectiva permanecem altos. Espera-se que o crescimento permane\u00e7a em 3% em 2025, enquanto a infla\u00e7\u00e3o deve diminuir com o desaparecimento dos factores de press\u00e3o de custos. A resolu\u00e7\u00e3o de gargalos de manuten\u00e7\u00e3o em blocos de extrac\u00e7\u00e3o importantes e os esfor\u00e7os liderados pelo Governo para incentivar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o devem ajudar a sustentar a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de petr\u00f3leo. No entanto, o alto servi\u00e7o da d\u00edvida externa restringe os gastos com desenvolvimento, e a depend\u00eancia do petr\u00f3leo continua a ser um obst\u00e1culo ao crescimento sustent\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O risco de liquidez pode intensificar-se caso as condi\u00e7\u00f5es de financiamento se deteriorem, afastando, ainda, mais os gastos sociais e exercendo press\u00f5es sobre a taxa de c\u00e2mbio. Al\u00e9m disso, com elei\u00e7\u00f5es presidenciais programadas para 2027, um in\u00edcio precoce do ciclo pol\u00edtico corre o risco de desacelerar a implementa\u00e7\u00e3o de reformas econ\u00f3micas. No lado positivo, pre\u00e7os mais altos do petr\u00f3leo, repercuss\u00f5es positivas de mais flexibiliza\u00e7\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria global e IEDs n\u00e3o petrol\u00edferos mais fortes, inclusive por meio do desenvolvimento do Corredor do Lobito podem melhorar a perspectiva de m\u00e9dio prazo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOs directores apoiaram o Plano de Desenvolvimento Nacional das autoridades para atingir um crescimento mais diversificado e resiliente. Um foco principal deve ser em pol\u00edticas favor\u00e1veis ao mercado para simplificar as regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es empresariais, aprimorar a governan\u00e7a, combater a corrup\u00e7\u00e3o, desenvolver o capital humano e aprofundar a inclus\u00e3o financeira. Uma capacidade estat\u00edstica mais forte tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 necess\u00e1ria para dar suporte \u00e0 formula\u00e7\u00e3o de pol\u00edticas s\u00f3lidas\u201d, l\u00ea-se na nota do FMI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conselho Executivo real\u00e7a desempenho da economia<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os directores executivos do FMI concordaram com o \u00edmpeto da avalia\u00e7\u00e3o da equipa, de acordo com a publica\u00e7\u00e3o divulgada ontem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ao mesmo tempo em que saudaram a recupera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f3mica, destacaram os riscos cont\u00ednuos da volatilidade do pre\u00e7o do petr\u00f3leo e das vulnerabilidades da d\u00edvida. Nesse contexto, os directores enfatizaram a urg\u00eancia de acelerar as reformas estruturais para fortalecer a estabilidade macroecon\u00f3mica e financeira e promover o crescimento diversificado e inclusivo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOs directores enfatizaram que retornar a um caminho de consolida\u00e7\u00e3o fiscal \u00e9 essencial para fortalecer as reservas e criar espa\u00e7o para as necessidades de desenvolvimento. Eles enfatizaram a import\u00e2ncia de implementar totalmente as reformas de subs\u00eddios aos combust\u00edveis, acompanhadas de medidas de mitiga\u00e7\u00e3o para proteger os mais vulner\u00e1veis e intensificar os esfor\u00e7os de mobiliza\u00e7\u00e3o de receitas n\u00e3o petrol\u00edferas. Os directores tamb\u00e9m aconselharam a racionaliza\u00e7\u00e3o do investimento p\u00fablico e a melhoria da efici\u00eancia dos gastos em linha com as recomenda\u00e7\u00f5es do PIMA de 2019, fortalecendo a gest\u00e3o financeira p\u00fablica, incluindo a estrutura de aquisi\u00e7\u00e3o e as reformas das SOE, e melhorar a gest\u00e3o de caixa e d\u00edvida para mitigar os riscos de liquidez e apoiar um retorno oportuno aos mercados, conforme avan\u00e7am.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOs directores enfatizaram a necessidade de a pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria manter um vi\u00e9s de aperto para garantir uma desinfla\u00e7\u00e3o duradoura. Eles pediram \u00e0s autoridades que respeitassem rigorosamente o tecto dos empr\u00e9stimos governamentais para salvaguardar as reservas internacionais e conter as press\u00f5es inflacion\u00e1rias\u201d. Os directores acolheram com satisfa\u00e7\u00e3o os esfor\u00e7os das autoridades para agilizar a gest\u00e3o de liquidez para melhorar a transmiss\u00e3o da pol\u00edtica monet\u00e1ria, bem como para melhorar o funcionamento do mercado de c\u00e2mbio e a flexibilidade da taxa de c\u00e2mbio como parte da transi\u00e7\u00e3o para uma estrutura de metas de infla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOs directores ressaltaram a necessidade de continuar a abordar as vulnerabilidades do sector financeiro. Pediram \u00e0s autoridades que abordassem as fraquezas da AML\/CFT para obter a r\u00e1pida remo\u00e7\u00e3o da lista cinzenta do GAFI. Enfatizaram a import\u00e2ncia de implementar efectivamente novas regulamenta\u00e7\u00f5es de supervis\u00e3o e desenvolver uma estrutura de estabilidade financeira robusta, incluindo redes de seguran\u00e7a fortalecidas. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Aconselharam, por outro lado, a abordar as vulnerabilidades restantes do nexo banco soberano, altos NPL e bancos problem\u00e1ticos, e aguardam ansiosamente a pr\u00f3xima avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do FSAP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No comunicado que publicou, o FMI diz espera que a pr\u00f3xima consulta do Artigo IV com Angola seja realizada no ciclo padr\u00e3o de 12 meses.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A economia de Angola recuperou em 2024, \u00e0 medida que o sector petrol\u00edfero se recuperou, estimando-se um crescimento do PIB (Produto Interno Bruto) de 3,8 por cento. Este indicador superou<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13992,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_rishi_post_view_count":156},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-education","rishi-post"],"rishi__cb_customizer_meta":"","comments_count":"0","yoast_head":"\nFundo Monet\u00e1rio Internacional\u2008destaca recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da economia angolana - Embassy of the Republic of Angola in Nigeria<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/angolanembassy-nga.ao\/?p=13991\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fundo Monet\u00e1rio Internacional\u2008destaca recupera\u00e7\u00e3o da economia angolana - Embassy of the Republic of Angola in Nigeria\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A economia de Angola recuperou em 2024, \u00e0 medida que o sector petrol\u00edfero se recuperou, estimando-se um crescimento do PIB (Produto Interno Bruto) de 3,8 por cento. 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